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Who decides the world championship?
According to the forecasts of the “Avicia” consulting company, Algeria has a real chance to beat Argentina in the first match of the tenth group of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at dawn on Wednesday.
According to the website Foot Market Although the French team has a slight statistical advantage over the Argentina team in the final prediction (57% to 43%), the artificial intelligence points to one factor that can completely change the course of the game: physical fitness.
He added that with a fitness index rated at 85% compared to just 81% for the reigning champions, Algeria go into this match with much better fitness in a tournament where matches are often decided by physical details.
This difference could allow the Algerians to maintain a high level throughout the 90 minutes and force the Argentina team, which is considered more tired, to pay the price of the current struggle.
Avicia, who occasionally collaborates with Footmercato, also points out that the uncertainty of Argentina’s defensive line and the need to manage some players early in the tournament could upset the Albiceleste’s usual balance.
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This analysis highlights a scenario that is much more open than the current situation of the two elected officials suggests. Admittedly, Argentina still have the edge in experience, mental toughness, experience and collective skillsespecially due to the decisive influence of Lionel Messi.
But Algeria present a dangerous opponent thanks to their direct style, ability to launch quick counter-attacks and an attacking generation capable of devastating blitzes.
According to Aphesia, a company specializing in artificial intelligence and data solutions, the physical fitness of the Algerian national team is a decisive factor in this game; the longer the match, the greater the impact of the physical difference on the outcome.
While initial predictions still have a 57% chance of Argentina winning, the AI believes Algeria have all the ingredients to pull off one of the World Cup’s biggest surprises and destabilize the team that wins the tournament.
