A below-average Atlantic hurricane season forecast as El Niño strengthens


It was probably the most famous hurricane of the era. Hurricane Melissa It hit Jamaica as a Category 5 hurricane, with preliminary estimates putting the cost of damage at US$6-7 billion ($4.5-5.2 billion).

It also caused significant damage in Cuba, Haiti and the Dominican Republic.

Erin And Humberto Another category were 5 storms, with Gabriel Completion of major hurricanes as Category 4.

Despite all this activity in the Atlantic, the continental USA had a lucky escape without any hurricanes in 2025. Only one tropical storm has touched it – Chantal hit the Carolinas in July.

Another notable feature of the 2025 hurricane season is the significant slowdown in activity around the time of year when hurricanes peak.

No tornadoes occurred between August 24 and September 16 – the first time since 1992.

Forecasting hurricanes is complicated.

Even active seasons can have particularly quiet interludes, but below average can still produce storms.

The official forecast will be updated as the season unfolds.



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