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This week’s PGA Tour event moves to Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, NC for the Triest Championship. The course is over 7,500 yards and can be a grinder as a par 71 with a closing three-hole stretch called the Green Mile that ends the tournament run longer than any finishing stretch on tour.
Scoring opportunities are limited, the par 4s are brutally long and the bunkers will pile on anyone who gets loose with the irons.
The players who compete here are precision iron players who can find the greens quickly from 200 yards out and put the ball down the hole.
This week’s profile points out some of the best approach players in the field on a course that makes the irons the only thing that really matters.
Differences by Draft Kings Sportsbook (with binding) and subject to change.
Xander Schauffele Top 10 (+106)
Absolute odds:
You’re getting plus money for a player who has finished second here twice and is moving up the field. It should cost less just for the top 10, especially on a course where your second shot decides everything. Profile appreciates a course that forces decisions. Schaffel separates by controlling where the ball ends up. At the bottom of the hole, the buildable appearance can lead to less stress. But if he misses, he’s top three in scrambling and saving sand, so the damage doesn’t stack. The green mile essentially decides the tournament, but his skill set travels right where the course gets tough.
Matt Fitzpatrick Top 10 (+144)
Absolute odds:
It’s a sure bet. He can certainly distinguish this course; He is elite around the greens and the best in the field out of the sand when needed. Quail misses the force, but has the short game to sustain it well. The approach numbers are pretty solid — top 10 in the field — and we’ve already seen that translate here A T8 strong ball striking here at the 2025 PGA Championship tells you that ceiling is real and repeatable. Putting is his weak spot, but his scrambling round keeps him from slipping. Better than the price gives credit for the results. +144 is a sufficient value for a profile that fits the original form behind it
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Ludwig Aberg$9,600: A missed cut at last year’s PGA Championship (which was played on this course) is why it’s priced. A bad week suppresses both his value and roster percentage, which is the fantasy equity you’re looking for. The underlying number doesn’t matter that result — third on the approach, with four top-5 finishes in his last five starts, including a T4 at Harbor Town two weeks ago. A course that rewards elite iron play above anything else, its price is low.
Sam Barnes$9,100: He is the best putter in the field. Previous course results have proven that a hot putter can carry you through the quail. The problem at this price is that the course gets you missing fairways and missing greens with bunkers (which Burns escaped with in the 63rd). He’s going to get into trouble more often, and the short game outside of putting isn’t reliable enough to bail him out consistently. Putter historically has to stay hot for four days to get paid. There are cleaner plays in that price range.