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The author of the triple deadly prophecies returns
In a remarkable phenomenon that combines economics and sports, a German expert specializing in predictive models is back on the interface with interesting predictions for the upcoming World Cup finals, after an exceptional record of predicting the results of major tournaments in recent years.
The British broadcasting corporation “BBC” quotes economist Joachim Clement, who has lived in the United Kingdom for 10 years, where he reveals that his research project was never intended to profit from betting, but rather tried to prove the absurdity of economic forecasts.
Proven track record of accurate predictions
Clement gained wide fame due to the accuracy of his successive predictions, as he succeeded in tipping Germany to the title in 2014, then predicted that France would be crowned in 2018, and finally he nominated Argentina led by Lionel Messi to win the title in 2022, which was actually three times.
The most obvious candidate for the title is the Netherlands
Clement has tipped the Netherlands to win the 2026 World Cup, which is set to kick off next June 11 in the US, Canada and Mexico, with a new prediction that could extend his exceptional record.
Detailed predictions for the upcoming tournament
Clement’s model does not limit itself to predicting the champion, but rather provides a comprehensive picture of how the tournament will go, as Japan is expected to spring a major surprise by knocking out Brazil in the second round, while Scotland are likely to exit the group stage.
The model also predicts England will reach the semi-finals before being knocked out by Portugal, repeating a similar scenario that played out in 2006 when Portugal beat the Three Lions on penalties.
From sarcasm to seriousness
Clement described himself as a “pessimist”, claiming that the original purpose of his research was to show “the arrogance of economists who think they can predict things they know nothing about”.
“Now it’s turned into trying to figure out how that happens,” he added. “If you’re successful, people will think you’re an expert.”
He stated that after his first prediction of a German victory in 2014 came true, he thought it was just a fluke, but repeating the success of the 2018 and 2022 editions made him reconsider his research methodology.
