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Tehran, Iran The meeting between the two leaders of Iran may seem routine, but the announcement by President Masoud Pezeshkian that he had a good conversation with the Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, is an attempt to counter the actions of the United States to show the leadership of the Islamic Republic as divided.
Pezeshkian’s announcement on Thursday appears to be the first time the president has been able to find an audience with Khamenei since the latter spoke. choice two months ago for the most powerful place in Iran.
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He did not specify the time of the two-and-a-half-hour meeting, but said Khamenei had helped build “trust, stability, cooperation, and direct dialogue,” according to state media.
Since the assassination of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and other leaders at the beginning of the war on February 28, US President Donald Trump and others have pushed for the idea that Tehran’s military, security and political elites are divided.
“The time has come for Iran to make a wise choice,” US Secretary of State Marco Rubio told reporters at the White House on Monday after Washington. he proposed a new idea to cooperate with Iran. “It is not easy for them to do this, because they have a problem in their leadership.” After all, the people at the top of the government, to say the least, are crazy in the brain”.
Iran International, a London-based anti-Islamic Republic group, this week cited unnamed sources as saying that Pezeshkian was angered by the actions of Ahmad Vahidi, Ali Abdollahi and other Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) officials, and decided to resign before directly asking the supreme leader, who is recovering from the injuries that killed his father.
But the head of the President’s office and his deputy for communications gave separate interviews to the ISNA government-affiliated organization, saying that Pezeshkian and IRGC officials make decisions at joint meetings, and that the claims of resignations and disagreements are “fake news”.
The IRGC and its associated security forces have established their dominant role in strategic decision-making in Iran, in particular. on the Hormuz Riverexperts told Al Jazeera.
“I think the military and security forces around Mojtaba Khamenei currently have a lot of influence, arguably more than at any time in years because this war raised the need for coercive power, deterrence, and military cooperation,” said Sina Toossi, non-resident director of the Washington-based Center for International Policy.
The expert said that the Supreme National Security Council remained the highest body, but instead, decision-making was carried out through small networks linked to the office of the supreme leader, IRGC officials, and trusted officials, such as security chief Mohammad Bagher Zolghadr.
“Right now, it’s hard to imagine any good plan going without a blessing,” Toossi said. “Hormuz is seen not only as an economic threat but as one of the obstacles for Iran, especially after the war has shown that Iran can still threaten ships and energy flows, despite the bombing of the US and Israel for several weeks”.
Saeed Leylaz, a Tehran-based political and economic analyst, said he believes that although opinions may differ among some people in the leadership of the Islamic Republic, they will all rally around the banner of the new supreme leader.
Leylaz said that Iranian officials accept the need to maintain control over Hormuz, as long as the US military blockade of Iranian ports remains in place. to increase the pressure on Iranian houses.
“But the Americans don’t want to accept anything. They started a naval blockade as soon as they finished the ceasefire. Then they said we want to open the channel and go back,” he told Al Jazeera.
“All this shows to the Islamic Republic that if it gives up control of the strait without a strong national unity, it will not be able to return because it will lose.”
Iranian officials have continued to communicate with Washington through intermediaries while expressing distrust of the other side.
Pezeshkian and others have insisted they won’t agree to a deal that amounts to a capitulation, despite threats of Iran’s nuclear arsenal.
Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi visited China this week, and also had contacts with Russia.
“Our Chinese friends believe that post-war Iran is different from pre-war Iran,” the ambassador said after his meetings, adding that “Iran’s international position has progressed, and it has proven its strength and power”.
But Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu continue to invoke some pre-war events, including a a complete halt to uranium enrichment on Iranian soil, as well as extracting deeply buried uranium.
Leylaz, a Tehran-based nuclear research expert, said Iran may temporarily disrupt its nuclear program, but it will not stop expanding.
He added that while the blockade is hurting Iran, it is also affecting US allies such as Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Kuwait. He said they have less of a problem than Iran, which has been controlled by the US and the United Nations for years.
Toossi, who lives in Washington, said an Iran with more security in the future would be less likely to engage heavily with the US and focus more on deterrence, self-reliance and expanding relations with non-Western countries.
“At the same time, the system seems to want to avoid a major war if it can identify its main interests and avoid economic collapse.” Therefore, I think the most likely solution is a long-term conflict, mixed with moderate negotiations instead of settling or fighting immediately,” he said.