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Last month, the United States military renamed its Indo-Pacific Command to the Pacific Command. The Pentagon said it was a return to history, a return to its old name when the authority was the same. But Geopolitics 101 will tell you that names are not just names. They are signs, postures, and suppression methods. They tell you what to pay attention to in the coming stages of negotiations with the troops.
“Indo” was added in 2018 under the first Trump administration as a deliberate bow to New Delhi. It was America’s way of saying: China is the biggest problem in the world, India is the most important part of democracy, and the Indian Ocean and the Pacific are one unchanging arena.
Then the Secretary of Defense James Mattis noted that the revision was to acknowledge the extent of communication between the Pacific and India: “from Bollywood to Hollywood, and from penguins to polar bears”, as he said.
But no more, apparently. “Indo” is gone. The symbolism attracted attention. In response to the revision, a member of the Indian Parliament Shashi Tharoor wrote on X, “One more nail in the coffin of the Quad?”, referring to the cooperation between the US, Australia, India and Japan.
But the move is particularly important in South Asia. Washington is quietly announcing the end of India’s role as America’s ally in the region. There are many good reasons and recent developments that have led to this change.
For many years, the American mental map of the subcontinent had India firmly in place. Pakistan was the subject. Bangladesh was a garment factory and a social enterprise. Nepal was a Himalayan wall that was well discussed after the survey by New Delhi. The smaller neighbors were independent, in theory and treated as tenants in India’s geopolitical structures, in practice.
The map is now redrawn in real time.
A new, more fluid South Asia is emerging where the US is engaged in Pakistan, Bangladesh and Nepal directly, very much – not according to the principles of regional India, but as actors and their organization, goods and interests. As with any business, cutting out the middle man is beneficial for both parties.
These countries are not as close as the Cold War. They are becoming more modern and, in many ways, more useful for America in a multi-ethnic world: Partners who come together when interests align and maintain the right to deal with China, Russia, India or anyone else.
Some Indian experts have said that this gradual separation makes America a regional enemy. Indeed, American officials increasingly view India not as a strategic partner but as a growing competitor whose advances in pharmaceuticals, IT, electronics manufacturing, and semiconductor ambitions may one day challenge US companies.
Learning from China during America’s euphoric post-Soviet unipolarity, in which business experts argue that China benefited disproportionately from American interests, the US is reluctant to repeat the same mistakes with India.
More broadly, Washington seems determined to prevent any power – including India – from dominating South Asia, and is strengthening regional influence. What we are witnessing is the end of India’s regional veto. Washington has stopped treating any capital in South Asia as a branch office in New Delhi.
The US is seeking an accommodation with Beijing, supporting the democratic transition in Bangladesh even though New Delhi is worried about losing a client government, engaging Nepal directly, and taking action in Myanmar that the Indian government sees as compromising the security of the northeast.
Pakistan offers a case study for this change. For years, the US-Pakistan relationship was in a tense situation that focused on terrorism. But Islamabad has successfully changed the equation with its diplomatic “charm”.
Field Marshal Asim Munir is positioning Pakistan as a link between Gulf capital, American technology, and Pacific economies that seek vital minerals. With huge reserves that could be worth billions, including Reko Diq’s copper and gold deposits, Pakistan can replace the chains led by China.
Through a military-led speech to the Trump administration and their families, Pakistan received 19 percent of its funding and US-backed militants for the Balochistan Liberation Army. Pakistan can maintain close relations with China while developing good relations with the US on minerals, trade, and regional stability.
Bangladesh, with a population of 170 million and an excellent location on the Bay of Bengal, is of particular importance. It is a powerhouse near important waterways, north-east India and the changing Myanmar. For a long time, Washington saw it mainly through the lenses of development aid or security concerns in India.
Today, a self-reliant Bangladesh can pursue US investment, energy deals and technology cooperation while still buying Chinese equipment and trading with India. By leading or supporting the humanitarian intervention to return the Rohingya to a safe place (perhaps through the United Nations or the pressure of sanctions in Myanmar), the US can deal with the growth of the China-India-Myanmar alliance, rebuild influence in Dhaka after leaving the policy of “India first”, and stable security in the most important region.
In favor of India’s relationship and giving it an opportunity to accept, Washington promoted its architecture in which India was at the top. Washington was so eager to counterbalance China that it sometimes undermined cooperation and respect. The renaming of the Pacific Command shows that time has come to an end.
This does not mean that India has been shown the door – they have simply been asked to share the dance floor. Washington still wants Delhi’s market power, navy-water and draft talent, but romance is giving way to a pragmatic, strategic alliance. South Asia is turning into a strange marketplace where major cities cut corners and issues: Pakistan trades mines to ensure security even as it engages with Beijing; Bangladesh takes US action without slamming other doors. This round expands America’s options and forces India to win allies with competitive bids instead of regional vetoes.
When the Pentagon cut “Indo” from the Pacific Command, it just published a change that can be seen below: The division now appears as a picture, not a picture of India. In today’s world, lasting influence belongs to anyone who can juggle multiple relationships at once, and that’s the new game on a crowded chessboard.
The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not reflect Al Jazeera’s editorial policy.